Arab News,
Tue, Sat, Nov 30, 2024 | Jumada al-Awwal 28, 1446
Moody’s upgrades ratings for 11 Saudi banks
Saudi Arabia:
Eleven banks in Saudi Arabia have seen their
long-term deposit and senior unsecured ratings upgraded by Moody’s thanks to a
strong operating environment.
The ratings agency also attributed the decision –
which affects institutions including Saudi National Bank, Al Rajhi Bank, Riyad
Bank – to the higher capacity of the Kingdom’s government to support the banks
in case of need.
Earlier in November, Moody’s changed the issuer
rating of the Saudi government from Aa3 from A1 and its outlook to stable from
positive.
Other banks to be affected by the latest change
include Saudi Awwal Bank, Banque Saudi Fransi, and Alinma Bank, as well as Arab
National Bank, Bank AlBilad, and the Saudi Investment Bank.
Bank AlJazira and Gulf International Bank — Saudi
Arabia also saw changes.
The agency also changed the outlook to stable from
positive on the long-term deposit ratings of all the banks except for Al Rajhi
Bank, which already held that rating.
“Credit conditions for banks in Saudi Arabia are
improving as economic diversification momentum remains robust,” said Moody’s in
a press release, adding: “We expect non-hydrocarbon private sector GDP to
continue expanding by about 4-5 percent in the coming years – among the highest
in the Gulf Cooperation Council region and an indication of continued progress
in diversification that will reduce the Kingdom’s exposure to oil market
developments and long-term carbon transition over time.”
The agency also announced it had upgraded the
Baseline Credit Assessments of Saudi National Bank, Saudi Awwal Bank, and Gulf
International Bank — Saudi Arabia, and affirmed the BCAs of the remaining eight
banks.
The continued increase in employment in the
Kingdom, including the growing participation of women in the workforce, will
support demand for banking services, according to Moody’s.
“In this context, we expect credit growth in the
banking system to remain robust, particularly to high quality borrowers related
to the execution of the giga-projects, which will in turn support asset quality
and profitability for all banks across the system, albeit to varying degrees,”
said the report.
When it came to the likelihood of government
support, Moody’s changed its assessment to “very high” from “high” for Alinma
Bank, Bank AlBilad, the Saudi Investment Bank and Bank AlJazira.
The report said this shift “reflects the vital
role the banking system plays in supporting the diversification agenda.”
It added: “The government’s economic
diversification plan continues to progress and will, over time, further reduce
Saudi Arabia’s exposure to oil market developments. Additionally, the stability
and resiliency of the banking system support investor confidence, private
domestic or foreign investment which is critical to government’s diversification
plan and in our view increases the likelihood for government support in case
needed.”
In its analysis of Saudi National Bank – the
largest such institution across the GCC region – Moody’s said its balance sheet
is well diversified across retail, corporate and treasury and underpins its
strong and improving asset quality with nonperforming loans to gross loans at
1.6 percent as of September.
“The bank’s liquid buffers remain healthy and
sufficient to moderate concentration risk on government deposits which is a
common feature for all banks in Saudi,” the report added.
Regarding the decision to affirm Al Rajhi Bank’s
BCA at a3, Moody’s said this “reflects the bank’s dominant domestic Islamic
retail franchise and our expectation that the improved operating conditions will
support in maintaining the bank’s financial performance.”