Arab News
Arab News, Sat, Mar 15, 2025 | Ramadan 15, 1446
Population growth, regulatory reforms and tourism reshaping Saudi real estate sector
Saudi Arabia:
Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector is poised
for robust expansion thanks to an increasing population, growth in the tourism
industry, and friendly government policies and regulatory reforms, experts told
Arab News.
The Kingdom’s Real Estate General Authority
expects the property market to reach $101.62 billion by 2029, with an
anticipated compound annual growth rate of 8 percent from 2024.
Strengthening this sector is crucial for Saudi
Arabia as it seeks to position itself as a global hub for tourism and business,
by reducing its decades-old reliance on crude revenues.
Speaking to Arab News, Matthew Green, head of
research at CBRE in the Middle East and North Africa region, said that the
expansion of the Kingdom’s real estate market is also influenced by various
other factors including rapid urbanization, infrastructure development, and the
rise in foreign direct investments.
“Saudi Arabia’s real estate market is supported
primarily by the government’s aggressive investment program, particularly toward
the giga-projects, which is driving non-oil production, fueling employment and
population growth, and attracting FDI,” said Green.
He added: “The country’s supportive demographics,
which are characterized by the presence of a significant young and well-educated
population, increasingly liberalized, and a rising middle class with greater
disposable income levels than previous generations is also driving the growth of
the real estate market in the Kingdom.”
Saud Al-Sulaimani, country head of JLL in
Saudi Arabia, echoed those views and said that government policies, including
the Sakani program and Real Estate Investment Trusts — as well as new mortgage
laws and foreign ownership regulations — are propelling the growth of the
property sector.
“Sakani program supports home ownership by
providing financial aid and land to Saudi citizens, while REITs encourage
institutional investment in the sector,” he said.
“Relaxed ownership laws are making the Kingdom’s
real estate market more attractive to international investors. All these factors
are driving the growth of the real estate sector in the Kingdom.”
Founded in 2017 by the Saudi Ministry of Housing
and the Real Estate Development Fund, the program aims to increase the
proportion of families that own a home in the Kingdom to 70 percent by 2030, in
line with the economic diversification strategy Vision 2030.
In January, Saudi Arabia’s Capital Market
Authority approved foreigners to invest in Saudi-listed companies owning real
estate in Makkah and Madinah.
Effective from Jan. 27, the amendment aims to
boost the capital market’s competitiveness and align with the Vision 2030
economic diversification objectives, the authority said in a statement.
“The landmark change to allow international
investors to access the property markets in the Holy Cities through listed
companies, announced this week, will help to begin addressing the pent-up demand
from international investors hungry to access real estate markets in the
Kingdom’s Holy Cities,” Faisal Durrani, head of research at Knight Frank, told
Arab News.
He added: “This change in investor rules, combined
with last January’s introduction of Premium Residency Visas, one of which is
connected to property ownership, is a clear indication of the direction of
travel and the strongest hint yet of authorities’ plans around boosting inward
international real estate investment.”
Susan Amawi, general manager of Knight Frank in
Saudi Arabia, said that construction activities in Saudi Arabia are expected to
rise in the coming years with the Kingdom targeting to deliver 1.04 million
homes by the end of the decade.
“Government programs such as Wafi and Sakani have
pushed the national homeownership rate to around 64 percent; however surging
home values are testing the limits of affordability. With plans underway to
deliver 1.04 million homes across the country by 2030, we expect to see a
significant ramping up in construction activity and jobs as the 2030 deadline
nears,” said Amawi.
Regional headquarters program driving growth
Al-Sulaimani told Arab News that the regional
headquarters program is one of the crucial factors acting as a catalyst for
growth of the commercial real estate sector in the Kingdom.
“The program has led to increased demand for
high-quality office spaces and mixed-use developments, spurring investments
across key industries, including offices, hospitality, and data centers,” he
said.
The JLL official added: “This influx of
international businesses is reshaping real estate dynamics, with an increased
focus on smart technologies, sustainability, and specialized assets, creating a
thriving environment for global talent.”
Knight Frank’s Amawi said that the strong economic
growth in the Kingdom, combined with the regional headquarters program has
driven up demand levels for premium office space, while vacancy rates have
approached record lows of around 2 percent in Riyadh.
“Office rents for Grade A space in Riyadh too have
responded to the sharp upturn in occupier requirements, rising by 51 percent in
the last three years alone,” said Amawi.
Real estate and tourism
Durrani said that Saudi Arabia’s ambition
to attract more than 150 million visitors by the end of the decade is creating
several opportunities in the hospitality real estate sector.
“For domestic tourism to flourish in Saudi Arabia,
care and attention must be paid to the development of attractions in secondary
and tertiary cities if they are to compete and thrive alongside all the new giga-project
hospitality offerings,” he said.
Durrani added that cost-effective
accommodation facilities are needed to meet the demand of travelers and address
the issue of expensive stays.
“With 28 percent of Gen Z Saudis highlighting high
costs as a barrier to domestic travel … so there remains an opportunity to
develop more cost-effective accommodation options,” added Durrani.
Green of CBRE echoed similar views and said that
diverse accommodation options are crucial to strengthening the real estate
sector in the Kingdom.
He flagged the need for a mix of hotel rooms, long
stay suites, private unit rentals — such as Airbnb — as well as lower cost
hostels and other budget-friendly room options.
Al-Sulaimani said that the launch of high-profile
and futuristic mega and giga-projects attracted global attention and
investments, and symbolizes a progressive shift in Saudi urban development.
“The focus on tourism and entertainment, alongside
massive investments in infrastructure, from transportation to utilities and
logistics, are creating a more conducive environment for real estate
development,” said the JLL official.
Real estate and technology
Al-Sulaimani added that the adoption of new
technologies and digital solutions is critical to streamlining operations and
boosting the efficiency of the Saudi property landscape.
He said advanced technologies to create smart,
sustainable, and highly efficient urban environments are fueling innovations and
unlocking new growth opportunities for property tech in the Kingdom.
“Companies can leverage AI and data analytics to
enhance transparency, improve decision-making, and predict market trends. The
development of smart cities focuses on integrating IoT and sustainable
technologies, offering residents an improved quality of life,” said Al-Sulaimani.
Green shared that view, and said improving
customer experience and service through technology adoption should be a key
target for all companies operating in the real estate sector.
“In the context of the real estate market, the use
of virtual and augmented reality for property tours and AI-powered chatbots for
instant support and more personalized feedback are becoming more common globally
but continue to lag in parts of the region,” said Green.
He added: “In addition, generating efficiencies
and streamlining operations through use of property management software and
better integration of smart building technologies can also enhance property
value and tenant comfort.”
Uniqueness of Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector
Speaking with Arab News, experts unanimously
highlighted the uniqueness of the housing sector in Saudi Arabia.
“The Kingdom’s real estate market is one of the
fastest growing globally and certainly of the most exciting. The opportunity for
investors continues to grow as the government unveils ever more ambitious
projects, designed to spur economic growth in the non-oil sector and to also
showcase Saudi Arabia’s arrival on the global investment stage,” said Amawi.
Green said that the ongoing construction of giga-projects
gives the Kingdom’s real estate sector an upper hand compared to other countries
in the region.
The CBRE official added that Saudi Arabia’s rich
cultural heritage is also a further standout for tourism-related developments,
creating a unique opportunity to establish a tangible cultural tourism offering
in the region.
“The size and scale of the Saudi’s giga-projects
remain a notable differential against other regional markets, with the Kingdom
still very much in its nation-building stage against more mature real estate
markets in the UAE,” said Green.